Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 59.758023 67.928820 76.343053 85.622347 95.536341 105.780993 117.137315
2025-05-11 46.482201 57.984514 70.438234 84.786123 100.729279 117.782411 137.284925
2025-05-18 39.297165 52.633279 67.618326 85.419299 105.724429 127.927620 153.812690
2025-05-25 33.224790 47.648930 64.429178 84.916322 108.819298 135.443094 166.971549
2025-06-01 28.811366 44.050100 62.348457 85.231591 112.446328 143.224191 180.136329
2025-06-08 24.542068 40.135924 59.478876 84.247913 114.251120 148.669945 190.431743
2025-06-15 21.967307 38.106790 58.689952 85.566790 118.606620 156.936825 203.865460
2025-06-22 19.808896 36.396446 58.118436 86.998739 122.977314 165.135009 217.159045
2025-06-29 17.082551 33.613769 55.938912 86.230245 124.523589 169.880200 226.326069
2025-07-06 14.252962 30.370866 52.908055 84.170710 124.311385 172.393713 232.753262
2025-07-13 13.525883 30.206117 54.000627 87.416924 130.689115 182.837545 248.605050
2025-07-20 12.458272 29.396248 54.120646 89.327304 135.348828 191.179783 261.946490
2025-07-27 10.725522 27.354108 52.408147 88.751319 136.848657 195.701735 270.782197
2025-08-03 9.106163 25.302348 50.544881 87.868003 137.881816 199.605821 278.851108
2025-08-10 8.054480 24.109248 49.854807 88.519244 140.849170 205.868961 289.761528
2025-08-17 6.854653 22.475838 48.387818 88.004836 142.229730 210.112474 298.181136
2025-08-24 5.966507 21.311875 47.560058 88.326934 144.668694 215.654699 308.177552
2025-08-31 4.930011 19.669330 45.863268 87.322251 145.278993 218.846977 315.250742
2025-09-07 4.419949 19.076427 45.814554 88.669246 149.025390 226.009221 327.236401
2025-09-14 3.977084 18.564873 45.861124 90.131519 152.915948 233.354385 339.458561
2025-09-21 3.250927 17.227158 44.431168 89.346776 153.705873 236.702974 346.688050
2025-09-28 2.458714 15.492921 42.186922 87.243400 152.613698 237.575952 350.781390
2025-10-05 2.395787 15.771566 43.504676 90.558521 159.024144 248.169321 367.096436